16 Jul 2025
Thought leadership
Read time: 3 Min
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The Standard American Diet Is Creating Diabetic Teens

By Marc Bates

The CDC dropped a bombshell: nearly one-third of American teens have prediabetes. That's 8.4 million teenagers walking around with metabolic dysfunction.

My immediate reaction? Concern, but not surprise.

I trust the numbers broadly, with caveats. The CDC's methods rely on NHANES data using blood markers like fasting glucose and HbA1c. These are robust tools, though prediabetes criteria were developed for adults, not adolescents.

What's more concerning than the statistic itself is the lack of urgency in response to such dire data.

This isn't a glucose problem. It's a mitochondria problem.

The Cellular Breakdown Happens at Breakfast

Let me walk you through what happens when a teenager eats a typical American breakfast: frosted cereal with skim milk, a banana, orange juice, maybe a granola bar.

The refined carbs rapidly convert to glucose. Blood glucose spikes well above 140 mg/dL within 30-60 minutes. The pancreas releases massive amounts of insulin to shuttle that glucose into cells.

Insulin spikes are normal. But not this frequent, this high, or this early in the day.

Once inside the cell, glucose floods the mitochondria. High glucose overwhelms glycolysis, forcing excess pyruvate into mitochondria that can't burn it fast enough.

The mitochondria convert some to lactate, push acetyl-CoA toward fat creation, and spill electrons from the electron transport chain. This generates reactive oxygen species.

ROS equals oxidative stress, which damages proteins, lipids, and mitochondrial DNA.

When mitochondria face constant energy excess and oxidative stress, the insulin signaling pathway becomes blunted. The cell essentially says: "We have enough fuel. No more glucose, please."

This is the beginning of insulin resistance. The cell is protecting itself from more energy, not failing due to laziness or genetics.

But that same breakfast likely contains another poison: seed oils. Canola, soybean, or sunflower oil in the granola bar or cereal.

Linoleic acid gets incorporated into mitochondrial membranes, weakening their structure and making them more fragile to ROS. Research shows linoleic acid kills cells by producing ROS and preventing mitochondria from producing energy.

The breakfast also lacks protein, fat, and micronutrients. No leptin response occurs, and ghrelin stays elevated.

This leads to cravings mid-morning, overeating at lunch, and evening binge behavior.

Repeat this daily, and you get early insulin resistance, fatty liver, ADHD-like symptoms, prediabetes, mood swings, and obesity.

All of it starts with what's still marketed as a "balanced" breakfast.

The System Is Captured by the Problem Creators

Public health officials continue recommending high-carb, low-fat approaches for teens. They're not unaware of mitochondrial research. They're incentivized to ignore it.

Their training is 20-30 years behind the science. They rely on evidence hierarchies that favor decades-old epidemiological studies over modern biochemistry and clinical practice.

The newer research on mitochondrial dysfunction, linoleic acid's role in cellular damage, and protective effects of ketones gets ignored because it doesn't fit the USDA pyramid model or food industry product lines.

Many public health agencies receive funding from cereal and grain alliances, dairy boards, plant-based lobbies, and seed oil conglomerates. The Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics and American Heart Association have accepted sponsorship from General Mills, PepsiCo, and Nestlé.

This influence steers research funding toward "safe" questions, position statements away from vilifying seed oils or carbohydrates, and nutrition school curricula toward plant-based dogma.

The USDA Dietary Guidelines are reviewed every five years by a committee that's not allowed to question past recommendations. Any new science must pass through systematic reviews that exclude newer studies and disregard metabolic data that doesn't fit their model.

Changing course means admitting the last 50 years of dietary advice have been wrong, harmful, and a primary contributor to obesity, diabetes, and autoimmune epidemics.

This would open floodgates to liability, lawsuits, and total collapse of public trust.

The firefighters are funded by the arsonists.

What Actually Works to Reverse Teen Prediabetes

When I coach families with prediabetic teens, I treat the guidelines as background noise and focus on biology-based interventions. The goal is cellular repair, not bureaucratic compliance.

Phase one involves eliminating the top four drivers of insulin resistance: refined grains, sugar, seed oils, and frequent snacking. Just removing these shifts many teens from 300-400g carbs daily to 80-120g overnight.

Within 2-3 weeks, we often see triglycerides drop, fasting insulin fall, and post-meal crashes resolve.

Phase two rebuilds metabolic flexibility with targeted macronutrient goals: 30-75g carbs daily, 1.2-1.8g protein per kg body weight, and fats from eggs, grass-fed beef, cheese, butter, olive oil, and tallow.

I encourage time-restricted eating, starting with 12:12 and shifting toward 16:8. No calories between meals, just salt, water, or electrolytes.

The "Build-A-Breakfast" template includes 3-4 eggs, sausage or bacon, avocado, with optional berries or Greek yogurt. No toast, juice, or cereal. Ever.

This restores satiety signaling, reduces hyperinsulinemia, and cuts mitochondrial overload from glucose and linoleic acid.

Phase three focuses on mitochondrial health restoration. At this stage, we see body composition improve without calorie counting, energy rebound, clearer skin, better sleep, and more stable moods.

I track fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, triglyceride-to-HDL ratio, and ALT and GGT for early fatty liver detection. Many pediatricians only look at A1c, but fasting insulin and TG:HDL ratio are earlier, better predictors of risk.

The results I've seen: fasting insulin drops from 18-24 to 6-9 μU/mL, triglycerides fall from 180+ to 80-100 mg/dL, A1c improves from 5.8-6.1% to 5.2-5.5%, and mood, focus, and sleep strongly improve.

Many changes happen without calorie counting and with less hunger. Parents are shocked by how quickly inflammation and fatigue resolve when sugar and seed oils are removed.

The Policy Changes That Could Save a Generation

Individual coaching is a workaround. To reverse the teen prediabetes epidemic at scale, we need systemic disruption.

First, make fasting insulin a standard pediatric lab panel. Prediabetes gets diagnosed after the disease process is well underway. Fasting insulin can detect metabolic dysfunction 5-10 years earlier than fasting glucose or A1c.

Second, ban seed oils from all school meals. Linoleic acid directly impairs mitochondrial function and insulin signaling. These oils are used in nearly every processed school food.

Third, end subsidies for ultra-processed carbs. We currently subsidize the problem. Corn, wheat, and soy are cheap because the government pays to overproduce them.

Fourth, replace MyPlate with mitochondria-supportive guidelines prioritizing animal protein, saturated fats, fermented foods, and low-carb vegetables.

Fifth, integrate metabolic health into school curriculum. Kids learn about photosynthesis but not insulin, mitochondria, or how food affects mood, energy, and fertility.

The food industry will resist these changes with billions at stake. Breaking through requires using states and cities as wedges, building cross-ideological coalitions, targeting institutional weak points, shifting cultural narratives, and building parallel systems that demonstrate superior outcomes.

You don't need to change everyone's mind. You just need to make it safe to question the old orthodoxy.

The Future We're Creating

If we don't act decisively, the teen prediabetes crisis becomes the next societal collapse vector.

By 2035, 50% of American teenagers will be insulin resistant, many with fatty liver, high triglycerides, and early hypertension. Type 2 diabetes diagnosed by age 18 becomes commonplace.

Teen-onset PCOS, depression, and infertility will explode. Boys will show declining testosterone and muscle mass by mid-teens. Cognitive and behavioral disorders will surge with no one connecting them to breakfast.

Diseases once seen in the elderly will become pediatric diseases. This generation will spend more years sick than healthy, starting in their twenties.

The healthcare system will be bankrupting Medicaid and school districts with metabolic treatment costs while managing massive symptoms and ignoring root causes.

But it doesn't have to go that way.

If we act now, 2035 could look different. Insulin screening becomes routine. Seed oils disappear from schools. Teens grow up strong, focused, emotionally stable, and metabolically flexible.

A whole generation grows up knowing what mitochondria are, what insulin does, and how to fuel their brain.

What Parents Can Do Right Now

To every parent feeling overwhelmed by this crisis: you are not powerless. You are the most powerful change agent your child will ever have.

You don't have to fix the system to save your child. You just have to opt out of what's hurting them, one meal at a time.

If your teen is prediabetic, this isn't your fault. You were handed a playbook full of lies about low-fat dogma, frequent snacking, and heart-healthy cereals.

Food is your leverage point. You need real food: meat, eggs, butter, fruit, vegetables. Real fat, not canola or soybean. Fewer snacks, more meals. Fewer grains, more protein.

Your kitchen is a metabolic repair clinic. Every meal can either inflame or heal. You get to decide.

Within 2-4 weeks, your teen can feel more energized, focused, and less anxious. In three months, you can see triglycerides drop, insulin normalize, and body composition shift.

You don't have to do this alone. There's a growing community of doctors, coaches, and parents waking up to the truth about metabolic health.

You are your child's advocate in a captured world. If your pediatrician won't test fasting insulin, ask why. If the school serves seed oils, pack a lunch. If the guidelines say low-fat, high-carb, question them.

No one is coming to save your child except you. That's not a burden. That's a gift.

You get to be the pivot point in your family's health story. You get to be the reason they grow up strong, sharp, and free from disease.

Don't try to change everything. Just change one thing and do it with conviction.

Cook a protein-forward breakfast. Pack real food in the lunchbox. Sit down at the table together. Start the conversation.

That's how revolutions begin.

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CONTACT DETAILS

Email for questions

marc@optimalhumandiet.com

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